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2024-12-14 05:14:20

In the past, A-shares paid more attention to financing than investment, that is, they only paid attention to the interests of shareholders, but not to the interests of shareholders. The stock market only solved the financing problem of enterprises and the freedom of shareholders' wealth. Now, with more and more interests bound, its position is becoming more and more important, replacing the property market as a wealth reservoir, stimulating consumption in the bull market, and so on. Now that pensions enter the market, it is certain that the stock market will be expected to rise slowly to provide for the aged.Although there is no direct causal relationship between the trend of US stocks and the entry of pensions into the market, it is obvious that it has provided a steady stream of incremental funds.This is the repeated emphasis that incremental funds determine the market style. If the pension is used as incremental funds, it will definitely benefit the blue chip, because it will definitely not dare to speculate on low prices, micro-disks, and other money will not be earned, and the capital will be lost.


At the end of 1978, during the 46 years since the introduction of 401k personal pension in the United States, the Dow Jones index has increased 54 times, with an average annual increase of 9.54%; The Nasdaq rose 167 times, with an average annual increase of 11.79%.When the personal pension was introduced in 2022, the bank gave a lot of subsidies for marketing expenses, allowing a large number of customers to open personal pension accounts, and most of them did not avoid the tax demand. Only those whose marginal tax rate exceeds 10%, that is, the taxable annual income exceeds 200,000 yuan, have begun to have tax avoidance needs, and the number is very limited.Today, A-shares have risen. Is it the heavy news that this pension has expanded and entered the market through a broad base?


This news has two effects on the market. First, incremental funds enter the market and expand the conditions for incremental funds to enter the market. As long as there is new money and a steady stream of new money enters the market, there will be a market; Second, the strategic low position of the stock market has increased, and pensions have to enter the market. If the stock market is still so depressed and the coffin board is lost, it will be too ugly.Now that three deposit years have passed, the net value of Y share of personal pension purchase is only about 7.5 billion yuan, with an average annual recharge of about 2.5 billion yuan. These funds are all FOF, and only some of them will invest in the stock market.The tax-excellent health insurance similar to personal pension is also in a similar situation, and the deposit amount is very small, because there are very few people who need to avoid tax, which is not the reason for the attractiveness of the product itself.

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